Weather and climate change

Headline:

A changeable week ahead. Often breezy with rain at times.

This Evening and Tonight:

There will be a mix of sunny then clear spells and showers overnight. The showers will be heaviest, most frequent and blustery in the north and west, with more persistent rain developing in the far north. Warm in the southeast.

Monday:

Wet and windy for a time across northeast Scotland. Scattered blustery showers elsewhere in the north, with central and southern England and Wales mostly fine with some warm sunshine.

Outlook for Tuesday to Thursday:

Cloudy and breezy with showery rain on Tuesday, though brighter later. Bright spells and showers thereafter. More persistent thundery rain and higher temperatures possible in the south and southeast briefly.

Updated: 17:00 (UTC+1) on Sun 22 Jun 2025

Weather conditions are expected to be remain changeable through this period, as a series of Atlantic low pressure systems pass to the northwest of the UK. These will tend to bring some occasional rain or showers, most frequent in northwestern areas where it may also be rather breezy or windy at times. Whilst some rain or showers will be possible across the south and east, here longer drier spells are more likely, under the influence of higher pressure. There is also the chance of some occasional very warm weather, as south or southwesterly winds allow brief bursts of hotter air to encroach from the continent, but probably fairly short-lived and perhaps also accompanied by a few thunderstorms at times.

Updated: 15:00 (UTC+1) on Sun 22 Jun 2025

A continuation of changeable conditions is most likely for the first part of July. The wettest and windiest conditions most likely towards the northwest with a risk of some heavy rain at times, especially over hills. Southern and eastern areas are most favoured for longer drier and more settled spells, although even here some occasional rain or showers will be possible, perhaps thundery. There are signs of more widely settled weather during the second half of July, however this signal is very tentative. Temperatures are expected to be above average for most areas, especially towards the southeast where there will be an ongoing chance of some very warm or hot conditions at times.

Updated: 16:00 (UTC+1) on Sun 22 Jun 2025